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Despite first place position, Blue Jays' World Series odds below 10%


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Roger Macpherson
September 10, 2025  (8:39 PM)
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Yankees Aaron Judge, Blue Jays Vladimir Guerrero Jr and Red Sox Jarren Duran
Photo credit: https://www.mlb.com

MLB.com has just released their odds for winning the World Series, and the Toronto Blue Jays are right about where you'd expect them to be.

In Anthony Castrovince's article for MLB,, the Blue Jays are in third place with odds of a World Series victory at 9.5%.
That puts them just ahead of the Milwaukee Brewers, who sit at 9.4%, while the Philadelphia Phillies round out the top five at 9.0%.
The top two teams?
The Dodgers and Yankees of course.
While having the Dodgers at number one - the defending champions have 16.6% odds - having New York at number two feels like a bit of an overhype, even if they are the Yankees.
Right now, the biggest thing standing in the way of a Blue Jays World Series is an uneven, inconsistent bullpen.
While it's been better as of late, the bullpen has a league-worst 5.60 ERA since the All-Star break. If the Blue Jays have World Series aspirations, that needs to change.
There is also uncertainty surrounding the health of Bo Bichette.
The all-star shortstop was recently placed on the IL with a knee issue. While the Jays are hopeful he will return for the end of the season, there needs to be a Plan B.
The Blue Jays would be best served by winning the AL East and bypassing the Wild Card round - which has not been kind to them.
There are still two weeks of games left to play. With so many close races, anything can - and will happen.
If the Blue Jays can keep on hitting and if the bullpen can get it together, then the Blue Jays could be in for a magical run. If not, it might be another early exit.
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SEPTEMBRE 10   |   107 ANSWERS
Despite first place position, Blue Jays' World Series odds below 10%

How far will the Blue Jays get in the playoffs

Wild Card Round1715.9 %
ALCS2826.2 %
ALDS1211.2 %
World Series5046.7 %
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